MateisLostDog
0xe274eed0e6e2c168094856a85c07efc747d8ee86
- Realised P&L
- $49.2k
- Volume
- $3.21M
- Markets traded
- 1,507
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.2kat 0.085Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$11.0kat 0.191Trump wins every swing state?
- +$4.9kat 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5PM ET
- +$4.3kat 0.186Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$3.9kat 0.007Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 19:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $504.00 |
| 10-21 19:01 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.0851477046 | $300.00 |
| 10-21 17:47 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $390.83 |
| 10-21 17:15 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $454.08 |
| 10-21 16:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.2866871901 | $485.65 |
| 10-21 16:43 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.28 | $171.34 |
| 10-21 16:41 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $710.01 |
| 10-21 16:09 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $615.09 |
| 10-21 16:06 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $462.12 |
| 10-21 16:01 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $480.70 |
| 10-21 16:00 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.42 |
| 10-21 15:59 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |
| 10-21 15:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.279999996 | $16.98 |
| 10-21 15:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.2783579445 | $1.1k |
| 10-20 07:13 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.79 |