moudd0
0xe26d436696dd460fcb1dd47e04e0787cccd51343
- Realised P&L
- $2.52
- Volume
- $469.54
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.690 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.52 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.59 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.460Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$2.19at 0.660Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.39at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$1.26at 0.570Hurricanes vs. Penguins
- +$1.08at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 10:39 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 15:37 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.94 |
| 06-27 17:51 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999803 | $1.95 |
| 06-23 14:22 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.59 |
| 06-20 14:41 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.4399999518 | $2.19 |
| 05-17 15:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999349 | $1.96 |
| 05-15 16:26 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899998693 | $1.58 |
| 05-10 10:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.21 |
| 05-06 11:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999535 | $1.16 |
| 05-05 18:37 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7199999048 | $1.21 |
| 04-04 13:25 | Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 04-03 08:52 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.6599997905 | $2.52 |
| 03-22 17:10 | Hurricanes vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.5699999625 | $1.67 |
| 03-16 14:16 | Mavericks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.75 | $1.10 |
| 03-12 13:49 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.7899996744 | $1.31 |