KrizchanXE
0xe26a965fae8d2a2049ae66e79886e3cec84fbdfa
- Realised P&L
- $710.57
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $229.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.996 | $193.30 | +$43.30 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $12.65 | +$2.65 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.998 | $12.63 | +$2.63 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.745 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.873 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.10at 0.341Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$142.79at 0.286Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$96.60at 0.664US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$93.52at 0.707Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$84.79at 0.750Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:45 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 14:44 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2 | $11.76 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.58 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:57 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 07:27 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 07:26 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.95 | $52.19 |
| 11-01 07:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.71 | $22.90 |
| 10-20 11:51 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | SELL | 0.9921711593 | $45.27 |
| 10-20 11:51 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | SELL | 0.9860600528 | $85.88 |
| 10-19 08:05 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.8726513564 | $76.00 |
| 10-17 11:23 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | BUY | 0.8218712385 | $150.00 |
| 10-13 10:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |