0xe268b10df5f86367597b1f76f20c9b68affce219
0xe268b10df5f86367597b1f76f20c9b68affce219
- Realised P&L
- $-18.06
- Volume
- $106.54
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.265 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.482Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$1.07at 0.649Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.04at 0.659Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$0.61at 0.769Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.779Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:26 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:03 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 03:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 06:19 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 10:18 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 00:17 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 03:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:43 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:29 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 10:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |