apenator
0xe25e9531d4647ad0af9e4ecbe50af7a6f1289861
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $372.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.059 | $5.0k | −$5.4k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.660 | 0.865 | $1.7k | +$410.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$568.12 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? · No | 0.689 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.678Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$1.2kat 0.054Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$1.1kat 0.485Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$858.08at 0.580Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
- +$855.54at 0.379Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 08:21 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $247.09 |
| 09-03 08:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.3k |
| 08-03 17:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.6895365793 | $1.8k |
| 08-03 17:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.68 | $81.60 |
| 08-01 13:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.054 | $16.20 |
| 08-01 13:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5430964833 | $1000.00 |
| 07-28 13:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2346214616 | $1000.00 |
| 07-28 13:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 13:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.9820179933 | $1.5k |
| 07-13 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.61 | $610.00 |
| 07-12 10:43 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0579425496 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 10:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-28 09:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 09:40 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 09:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $50.00 |