Rurik5
0xe25c28438f4f51bf12efed21efd45f33d8cfae63
- Realised P&L
- $27.3k
- Volume
- $5.89M
- Markets traded
- 1,947
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,947
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.554Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$2.4kat 0.260Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.3kat 0.740Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$1.6kat 0.793Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.400Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $27.50 |
| 09-10 19:33 | Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | SELL | 0.48 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 22:50 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.458 | $85.19 |
| 09-09 20:45 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.34 | $11.19 |
| 09-09 18:27 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff | SELL | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-09 18:24 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-09 18:23 | Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 09-07 14:13 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0413708 | $12.41 |
| 09-06 19:01 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 09-05 18:52 | Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.14 | $21.39 |
| 08-31 20:37 | Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.32 |
| 08-26 12:26 | Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.061 | $61.00 |
| 08-24 14:53 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.072 | $12.00 |
| 08-23 11:42 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.059 | $9.44 |
| 08-22 08:31 | Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.024 | $2.40 |