PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rurik5

0xe25c28438f4f51bf12efed21efd45f33d8cfae63

Realised P&L
$27.6k
Volume
$5.74M
Markets traded
1,975
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,975
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.900$8.1k+$3.6k
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9340.958$1.2k+$29.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.100$895.50−$3.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5190.525$238.49+$2.66
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9520.975$212.12+$4.93
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1660.125$206.25−$67.83
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027? · No0.7650.760$136.00−$1.00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8860.935$116.85+$6.11
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · Yes0.5600.980$111.77+$47.87
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · Yes0.7000.875$87.50+$17.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.740$59.20−$1.60
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2027? · No0.7700.795$43.73+$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 13:22Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.925$538.06
10-26 13:18Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92776$115.97
10-26 13:17Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.922$65.47
10-16 16:462026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.91$182.36
09-16 11:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$27.50
09-10 19:33Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsSELL0.48$1.30
09-09 22:50Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.458$85.19
09-09 20:45Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.34$11.19
09-09 18:27US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco GauffSELL0.55$55.00
09-09 18:24US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco GauffBUY0.51$51.00
09-09 18:23Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.2$30.00
09-07 14:13Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?BUY0.0413708$12.41
09-06 19:01US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaSELL0.38$38.00
09-05 18:52Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.14$21.39
08-31 20:37Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.035$1.32