mandelkonvalj
0xe25b624886db5051dc17802b91a5c60bd045133d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.55
- Volume
- $335.37
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $84.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.457 | 0.510 | $52.49 | +$5.49 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.750 | 0.675 | $19.57 | −$2.17 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.097 | $9.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$21.85 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 20:27 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.75 | $21.75 |
| 05-09 20:22 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.4566431868 | $47.00 |
| 05-09 20:18 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0869999919 | $9.00 |
| 05-09 20:10 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |