Murni
0xe25aa489c5d8c310142d7399be879165edd731c4
- Realised P&L
- $115.12
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $17.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.40at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?
- +$29.44at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?
- +$24.60at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$24.59at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?
- +$23.40at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 06-29 20:25 | Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 06-20 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.10 |
| 06-08 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 06-05 10:31 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 06-03 22:11 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 05-28 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 28? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 05-17 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-17 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-17 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-14 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 05-14 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 05-14 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.40 |
| 05-14 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.80 |
| 05-14 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |