PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Murni

0xe25aa489c5d8c310142d7399be879165edd731c4

Realised P&L
$115.12
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$17.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27? · Yes0.4500.505$10.10+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.2900.370$7.40+$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$2.41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 07:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.06$1.20
06-29 20:25Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?BUY0.11$2.20
06-20 14:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?BUY0.64$8.10
06-08 08:52Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?BUY0.4$8.00
06-05 10:31Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.16$4.00
06-03 22:11Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.45$11.25
05-28 17:25Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 28?SELL0.28$5.60
05-17 18:15Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?SELL0.999$19.98
05-17 15:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?SELL0.999$19.98
05-17 15:45Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?SELL0.999$19.98
05-14 19:22Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?BUY0.8$6.40
05-14 19:21Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?BUY0.81$16.20
05-14 19:20Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?BUY0.8$2.40
05-14 19:19Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?BUY0.8$12.80
05-14 15:45Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?SELL0.999$9.98