0xe2557A9093F8C7F680fEbeFb06BCb82DAad16a94-1768774225482
0xe2557a9093f8c7f680febefb06bcb82daad16a94
- Realised P&L
- $-245.53
- Volume
- $50.8k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $0.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.24at 0.144US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$31.58at 0.028Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
- +$24.17at 0.036Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?
- +$19.89at 0.499Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
- +$13.02at 0.007Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.268115842 | $27.96 |
| 04-22 18:33 | Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 04-22 18:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 04-22 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.36 |
| 04-22 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.64 |
| 04-22 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.0353056426 | $5.41 |
| 04-22 18:31 | Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.1093327621 | $40.83 |
| 04-22 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.75 |
| 04-15 19:06 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.3699999304 | $2.61 |
| 04-15 19:05 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.56 |
| 04-15 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.0148592602 | $1.15 |
| 03-26 19:55 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 19:41 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 16:52 | Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 03-25 12:18 | Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $4.78 |