0x8Df652ddc2B334FB681B16ca57Fb3664752C3145-1768797656030
0xe25453d3ff1ad569e71dad634df3ca992e7100be
- Realised P&L
- $-224.13
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $94.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peru win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.883 | 0.875 | $94.52 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.46at 0.617Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$35.98at 0.855Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$22.15at 0.794Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5
- +$19.64at 0.770Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Corners
- +$14.16at 0.943Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:13 | Will Peru win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8832869447 | $95.42 |
| 06-14 06:42 | Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 9.5 Corners | BUY | 0.4599999625 | $6.14 |
| 06-14 05:35 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.02 | $6.02 |
| 06-14 04:07 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $171.47 |
| 06-14 04:07 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $173.89 |
| 06-14 00:59 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6099999947 | $106.18 |
| 06-13 22:53 | Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7890703694 | $84.88 |
| 06-13 15:05 | Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 4.5 Corners | BUY | 0.764710351 | $65.33 |
| 06-13 03:32 | United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $65.83 |
| 06-13 02:38 | United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $56.68 |
| 06-13 01:52 | Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.85 | $50.98 |
| 06-12 20:41 | Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8335053244 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 19:21 | Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.71 | $56.85 |
| 06-11 06:30 | Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7099999975 | $56.85 |
| 06-11 05:54 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0308021112 | $57.66 |