afsdca
0xe2510d64e1b82bf3afca6fc5727e8c48bf653575
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $198.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 18? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $105.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $93.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.78at 0.540Stars vs. Hurricanes
- +$103.88at 0.510Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5
- +$102.96at 0.480Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
- +$87.84at 0.520Sabres vs. Penguins
- +$52.45at 0.617Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $105.00 |
| 09-17 10:32 | Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $94.00 |
| 09-17 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $105.00 |
| 08-10 14:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $104.00 |
| 07-13 08:20 | LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season | BUY | 0.52 | $98.80 |
| 07-07 10:02 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.00 |
| 06-04 10:01 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $99.97 |
| 05-18 08:58 | New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.44 | $139.04 |
| 05-07 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.91 |
| 05-07 12:47 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.61 | $83.57 |
| 05-03 08:40 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.00 |
| 04-13 13:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 13? | BUY | 0.9979998406 | $2.88 |
| 04-05 09:41 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.87 |
| 03-29 11:26 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.997 | $91.27 |
| 03-29 10:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.87 |