PolyBot

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Traders

key12221

0xe24e69060681049111c4e725958addb005de5433

Realised P&L
$245.76
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$427.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No0.9921.000$199.90+$1.50
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9600.999$128.81+$4.97
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27? · No0.9691.000$45.98+$1.40
Nothing Ever Happens: September · Nothing0.9870.985$29.55−$0.06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9910.998$22.94+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 03:45Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.969$44.57
09-24 03:44Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?BUY0.992$198.40
09-24 03:42Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberBUY0.987$29.61
09-22 02:15Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.998$271.46
09-18 07:41Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.9984482759$28.96
09-18 07:40Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.965$28.95
09-18 02:41Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.991$22.79
09-18 02:40Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.9986097561$40.94
09-18 02:40Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.98$11.76
09-18 02:40Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.988442653$107.90
09-18 02:38Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.9989259259$80.91
09-03 12:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.954$28.62
08-29 02:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?BUY0.99$307.89
08-28 07:18Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on August 28?BUY0.997$166.50
08-28 07:18Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on August 28?BUY0.998$129.74