key12221
0xe24e69060681049111c4e725958addb005de5433
- Realised P&L
- $245.76
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $427.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $199.90 | +$1.50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.960 | 0.999 | $128.81 | +$4.97 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.969 | 1.000 | $45.98 | +$1.40 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September · Nothing | 0.987 | 0.985 | $29.55 | −$0.06 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $22.94 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.438Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?
- +$78.52at 0.698Will XRP reach $3.10 September 29-October 5?
- +$46.91at 0.810Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$10.10at 0.955World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?
- +$8.07at 0.925Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:45 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.969 | $44.57 |
| 09-24 03:44 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $198.40 |
| 09-24 03:42 | Nothing Ever Happens: September | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 09-22 02:15 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $271.46 |
| 09-18 07:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9984482759 | $28.96 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $28.95 |
| 09-18 02:41 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $22.79 |
| 09-18 02:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9986097561 | $40.94 |
| 09-18 02:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.76 |
| 09-18 02:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.988442653 | $107.90 |
| 09-18 02:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989259259 | $80.91 |
| 09-03 12:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.954 | $28.62 |
| 08-29 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $307.89 |
| 08-28 07:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $166.50 |
| 08-28 07:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.74 |