0xe242786ec7d621f07491c74a718d0ce7e83e7cfd
0xe242786ec7d621f07491c74a718d0ce7e83e7cfd
- Realised P&L
- $-11.69
- Volume
- $127.99
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 1.000 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.150 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.04at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.54at 0.288S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$1.83at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.79at 0.540Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:48 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:25 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 25? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:16 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:51 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 20:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4199999592 | $2.06 |
| 08-17 11:45 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999301 | $2.06 |
| 08-17 02:33 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999416 | $2.06 |
| 08-16 04:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.5243996131 | $2.06 |
| 08-14 08:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.06 |
| 08-14 00:49 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 14? | BUY | 0.3499999066 | $2.06 |