0xe240CC8436B9c0D53e7299bad7B089E6176d4681-1777498245343
0xe240cc8436b9c0d53e7299bad7b089e6176d4681
- Realised P&L
- $509.65
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.033 | $6.50 | −$13.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$422.91at 0.170Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$187.90at 0.329Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$24.27at 0.296Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$19.65at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-3.96at 0.044Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 14:29 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 03:30 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.042 | $3.78 |
| 07-19 03:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.595 | $29.75 |
| 05-17 06:06 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 06:06 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 06:05 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.2307692024 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 06:04 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 06:04 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 06:03 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.261442954 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 06:03 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2396572901 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 06:01 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-02 17:01 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999927 | $3.00 |
| 05-02 13:24 | Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $27.20 |
| 05-02 13:20 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $19.80 |
| 05-02 01:35 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |