PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe240CC8436B9c0D53e7299bad7B089E6176d4681-1777498245343

0xe240cc8436b9c0d53e7299bad7b089e6176d4681

Realised P&L
$509.65
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$6.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$6.50−$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 14:29Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana FeverBUY0.5$25.00
07-19 03:30Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.042$3.78
07-19 03:04Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.595$29.75
05-17 06:06Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
05-17 06:06Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.2$10.00
05-17 06:05Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.2307692024$5.00
05-17 06:04Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
05-17 06:04Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
05-17 06:03Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.261442954$10.00
05-17 06:03Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.2396572901$20.00
05-17 06:01Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
05-02 17:01Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0219999927$3.00
05-02 13:24Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.34$27.20
05-02 13:20Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.022$19.80
05-02 01:35Epstein suicide note released by May 31?BUY0.06$12.00