PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Grinchulo

0xe23b24cc05b99b481fb853c6b648bbb4bc774f13

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$29.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$22.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.024$22.41$82.49
Will no new pope be elected in 2025? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$20.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$48.91
Ethereum all time high by June 30? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$156.00
Will George Simion win by 6–12%? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$8.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$307.40
Will George Simion win by 0–6%? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$76.00
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes0.8220.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 18:35Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999991$104.90
06-01 15:36Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?BUY0.822$1000.00
05-16 18:06Will George Simion win by 6–12%?BUY0.12$8.40
05-04 21:29Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?SELL0.004$2.47
05-04 20:21Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.0404730235$25.00
05-02 12:31Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.2899999981$90.92
05-02 12:29Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?SELL0.32$64.00
04-26 19:15Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.2999999974$70.00
04-26 11:08Will no new pope be elected in 2025?BUY0.0056996999$20.00
03-28 13:36Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?SELL0.365$108.56
03-27 22:29Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before May?SELL0.0612333162$29.77
03-27 22:07Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?BUY0.9199999999$273.63
03-27 21:49Joe Gatto charged with sex crime?SELL0.088458$26.54
03-27 12:51Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?SELL0.24$0.16
03-27 12:50$jellyjelly FDV over $50m on Friday? SELL0.01203292$6.02