rtg5rty
0xe2342ff2d67abb10dac70ddd65e730cabbc78abc
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$35.96 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.50 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of June 22 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.500Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
- +$475.20at 0.500Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
- +$245.00at 0.650Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
- +$49.90at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?
- +$47.04at 0.500Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of June 22 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.98 |
| 07-17 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 18? | BUY | 0.965 | $21.69 |
| 07-10 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.956 | $11.95 |
| 06-30 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 06-16 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.33 |
| 06-09 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.983 | $20.74 |
| 06-01 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 2? | BUY | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 05-06 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7? | BUY | 0.967 | $1.5k |
| 03-17 12:49 | Spread: Panthers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $455.00 |