phantomiro
0xe22e6e4185f7450e0d7085fb63175c626d0c039f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.08
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $160.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.750 | $160.66 | +$4.28 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Chargers vs. Jaguars · Chargers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers · Blue Jays | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Dern vs. Jandiroba · Jandiroba | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.41at 0.290Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
- +$113.62at 0.468Jets vs. Avalanche
- +$77.53at 0.432Capitals vs. Oilers
- +$60.03at 0.621Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$52.04at 0.490Prochazka vs. Hill
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:02 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.729999999 | $156.38 |
| 12-13 20:33 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $40.00 |
| 12-04 21:26 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04? | BUY | 0.8599999987 | $40.00 |
| 12-03 18:56 | Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03? | BUY | 0.0193138746 | $4.00 |
| 12-03 18:56 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $145.00 |
| 11-30 19:54 | Capitals vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 11-30 19:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 13:16 | Warriors vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 11-16 13:14 | Chargers vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 13:13 | Packers vs. Giants | BUY | 0.7699999963 | $40.00 |
| 11-16 13:12 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.1769999932 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 02:02 | UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 02:01 | UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 02:01 | UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 11-16 02:01 | UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |