Elposton
0xe228f29215f2a0e9b5a5f57a0974063e23401f4c
- Realised P&L
- $-9.8k
- Volume
- $3.62M
- Markets traded
- 484
- Open portfolio
- $167.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded484
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.004Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.058Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.1kat 0.029Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
- +$1.4kat 0.064Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?
- +$1.3kat 0.034Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:31 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.0488460731 | $9.52 |
| 09-18 15:31 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.20 |
| 09-18 15:29 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.0122755515 | $9.00 |
| 09-18 15:28 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 15:27 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0719999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:26 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 21? | BUY | 0.1749163438 | $23.00 |
| 09-18 15:26 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0719999997 | $16.00 |
| 09-18 14:51 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 21? | BUY | 0.1879999978 | $10.47 |
| 09-18 14:50 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0819999999 | $60.00 |
| 09-18 13:48 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.1741997384 | $16.00 |
| 09-18 13:47 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 13:46 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.6653656706 | $48.76 |
| 09-18 13:45 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.0507254549 | $7.87 |
| 09-18 13:45 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.0120128841 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 13:43 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.666 | $15.41 |