PolyBot

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Traders

cashllio

0xe221d23b7ee9bf426a3862b0a1c8608750e41505

Realised P&L
$487.98
Volume
$63.3k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$607.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9610.974$389.60+$5.20
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9640.967$96.65+$0.25
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9050.938$46.90+$1.65
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? · No0.9100.935$30.57+$0.82
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9740.980$29.39+$0.17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? · No0.6800.725$14.50+$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:58Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?BUY0.68$13.60
10-02 05:57Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.974$29.22
09-27 10:21Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?BUY0.995$147.26
09-27 10:10Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.964$192.80
09-27 10:09Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.964$96.40
09-27 09:24Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on September 27?BUY0.9871530758$13.80
09-24 12:24Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24?BUY0.999$435.56
09-24 12:23Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24?BUY0.998$9.50
09-24 12:18Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.958$191.60
09-24 11:13Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.998$199.60
09-15 07:43Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.991$198.20
09-08 03:54Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.991$99.10
09-06 11:32Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?BUY0.9788333333$58.73
09-06 10:49Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.983$103.32
08-25 13:18Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 26?BUY0.9947138908$143.94