PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twou

0xe220486ebee546bdf933e7b78af099b6b65e7e3b

Realised P&L
$-24.05
Volume
$286.61
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$3.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · Yes0.5901.000$3.39+$1.39
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.040$0.49−$0.51
Nuggets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Flames vs. Penguins · Penguins0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia · Latvia0.4600.000$0.00−$3.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6130.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway · Norway0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
76ers vs. Bulls · 76ers0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$2.00
Pistons vs. Jazz · Pistons0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00
World Championships: Canada vs. Norway · Canada0.7500.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:22Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
09-13 09:32Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-13 09:32Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-13 09:31Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-13 09:31Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-13 09:31Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
08-27 19:55Will Solana reach $110 in August?SELL0.899$3.18
08-25 19:51Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?BUY0.2479998175$1.00
08-23 19:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
08-23 19:46Will Solana reach $110 in August?BUY0.2819998206$1.00
07-16 20:18Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.995$5.00
07-16 20:05Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.612999979$10.00
07-16 20:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5839999915$11.00
07-12 20:10Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
05-31 19:08World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandBUY0.6$16.78