jacerda
0xe21b191056e3d0323e657411b24fb45023da8984
- Realised P&L
- $400.00
- Volume
- $601.36
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $413.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar66.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.785 | $194.84 | −$48.31 |
| Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · No | 0.988 | 0.992 | $93.08 | +$0.38 |
| Will Cobreloa win the 2026 Primera B (Chile)? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.560 | $56.76 | −$43.24 |
| Will Universidad de Chile win Chile Primera? · No | 0.983 | 0.777 | $45.73 | −$12.09 |
| Will Universidad Católica win Chile Primera? · No | 0.976 | 0.971 | $18.52 | −$0.10 |
| Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · No | 0.960 | 0.993 | $4.96 | +$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.00at 0.200Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:20 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 11-01 05:19 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $92.70 |
| 11-01 05:16 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.99 |
| 11-01 05:16 | Will Universidad Católica win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.9819473633 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:15 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.99 |
| 11-01 05:15 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 05:14 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 05:14 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.53 |
| 11-01 05:11 | Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $31.43 |
| 11-01 05:07 | Will Universidad de Chile win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.983 | $57.82 |
| 11-01 05:06 | Will Universidad Católica win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:04 | Will Universidad Católica win Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.62 |
| 10-28 05:47 | Will Cobreloa win the 2026 Primera B (Chile)? | BUY | 0.986547084 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 06:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |