Drivetim3
0xe21a6ac05fb38cfe8a2b7f6bbc4ef67b8f4c57a9
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $79.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.039 | $418.10 | −$2.5k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.042 | $394.25 | −$4.5k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.125 | $346.78 | −$1.6k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.018 | $237.50 | −$1.8k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.020 | $192.48 | −$1.7k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.029 | $188.18 | −$2.1k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.021 | $107.50 | −$1.0k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.007 | $70.00 | −$769.99 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.021 | $43.64 | −$361.36 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.006 | $2.64 | −$26.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.625US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$860.79at 0.656Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$777.59at 0.730US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$265.69at 0.790US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 07:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $36.47 |
| 04-11 17:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6536738907 | $1.1k |
| 04-02 02:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $900.00 |
| 04-02 02:31 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $22.18 |
| 04-02 02:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 03-31 04:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.73 |
| 03-30 03:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.5k |
| 03-30 03:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $119.65 |
| 03-30 03:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3278219184 | $1.5k |
| 03-30 03:37 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2386422834 | $150.00 |
| 03-26 03:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7176706631 | $2.0k |
| 03-26 03:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3841929617 | $1000.00 |
| 03-26 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2162529596 | $1000.00 |
| 03-26 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $500.00 |
| 03-26 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $300.00 |