PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Onlywinner

0xe212ca5f390503aae57f15cbca1cd0c41fc1e0ad

Realised P&L
$-101.40
Volume
$23.2k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$2.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0080.022$2.70+$1.70
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05−$0.95
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$7.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 57.5 million views in week 1? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$1.50
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.0980.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.72
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.5 and 58 million views in week 1? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61.5 and 62 million views in week 1? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.4980.000$0.00−$6.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 24 and 28 million views on day 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.50
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.6090.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 13:47Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.1899999962$4.00
10-18 13:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.95$2.00
10-18 13:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.88$2.00
10-18 13:41Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.0081451552$1.00
10-18 13:40Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?BUY0.01$1.00
06-20 20:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.1899999227$1.72
06-20 20:26Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.023$0.92
06-20 20:24Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.025$1.00
06-20 20:20Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?BUY0.0479999779$2.00
06-20 19:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.48$3.00
06-20 17:23Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-20 17:22Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
06-20 16:58Sweden to score first vs. Netherlands?BUY0.34999993$2.00
06-20 15:53Netherlands vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-20 15:46Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 57.5 million views in week 1?BUY0.009375$1.50