PolyBot

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Traders

green13

0xe2017ac8c232d2748141d80702d48c14981c6d5c

Realised P&L
$-882.14
Volume
$99.7k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$101.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1290.095$73.86$26.14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1500.105$27.74$11.89
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.7250.000$0.00$721.21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$147.38
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$695.42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$50.00
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia · Latvia0.2540.000$0.00$63.50
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France · France0.0060.000$0.00$20.00
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA · Latvia0.0700.000$0.00$63.00
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$15.00
Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia · Italy0.1000.000$0.00$80.00
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italy · Italy0.0480.000$0.00$12.00
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.15$39.63
08-25 13:16Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.1286160898$100.00
07-11 21:47Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.445$144.63
07-11 20:36Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.22$71.50
04-08 07:57Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.15$75.00
03-01 09:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.041$50.00
03-01 09:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$698.60
02-28 18:50Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.48$149.02
02-28 18:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.4676482$187.06
02-18 15:13Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.18$14.40
02-18 14:37US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.21$351.72
02-18 14:19US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?SELL0.022$22.00
02-18 11:10US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.054$12.42
02-18 11:08US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.12$18.44
02-18 11:05US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.0539840677$101.65