green13
0xe2017ac8c232d2748141d80702d48c14981c6d5c
- Realised P&L
- $-882.14
- Volume
- $99.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $101.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.095 | $73.86 | −$26.14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.150 | 0.105 | $27.74 | −$11.89 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.725 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$721.21 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.38 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$695.42 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia · Latvia | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.50 |
| Men's Group A - Canada vs. France · France | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA · Latvia | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia · Italy | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italy · Italy | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.388Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$893.25at 0.035Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$593.60at 0.150Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$204.00at 0.290Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia
- +$114.59at 0.190Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.15 | $39.63 |
| 08-25 13:16 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1286160898 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 21:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.445 | $144.63 |
| 07-11 20:36 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.22 | $71.50 |
| 04-08 07:57 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $75.00 |
| 03-01 09:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $50.00 |
| 03-01 09:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $698.60 |
| 02-28 18:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.48 | $149.02 |
| 02-28 18:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.4676482 | $187.06 |
| 02-18 15:13 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $14.40 |
| 02-18 14:37 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $351.72 |
| 02-18 14:19 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $22.00 |
| 02-18 11:10 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $12.42 |
| 02-18 11:08 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $18.44 |
| 02-18 11:05 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0539840677 | $101.65 |