force22
0xe20141551c9592bb3f337438ab37d0df9fbd3f41
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $120.4k
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $9.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.365 | $3.65 | +$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.135 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.210 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.070 | $1.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.150 | $0.57 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.88at 0.027Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$156.36at 0.125Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$124.04at 0.217Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$105.51at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$105.39at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.88 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.73 |
| 08-04 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.11 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.22 |
| 08-04 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.12 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.22 |
| 08-04 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.39 |
| 08-04 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.49 |