force22
0xe20141551c9592bb3f337438ab37d0df9fbd3f41
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $145.2k
- Markets traded
- 716
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded716
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.035 | $0.20 | −$1.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.010 | $0.05 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.83at 0.027Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$155.79at 0.125Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$124.04at 0.217Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$105.39at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12PM ET
- +$103.32at 0.107Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 17:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.43 |
| 09-23 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-22 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-22 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.53 |
| 09-22 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.72 |
| 09-21 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.11 |
| 09-21 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.10 |
| 09-21 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 09-21 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1543693694 | $1.37 |
| 09-21 00:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.70 |
| 09-20 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.18 |
| 09-20 13:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.29 |
| 09-20 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |