kpup
0xe200f4bfd7081c0de90f0c0473b238e7582de4bf
- Realised P&L
- $-325.30
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $29.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.979 | $9.79 | +$0.15 |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? · No | 0.930 | 0.684 | $6.84 | −$2.46 |
| Will Trump say "Cook" or "Cooked" this week? · No | 0.430 | 0.575 | $5.75 | +$1.45 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.919 | $4.60 | +$0.45 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.240 | $2.40 | −$1.70 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.115 | $0.57 | −$0.38 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week? · No | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.95 |
| Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.95at 0.800LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
- +$21.39at 0.852Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner
- +$15.98at 0.980Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner
- +$12.56at 0.819LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
- +$12.43at 0.804Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:41 | Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $27.17 |
| 09-14 04:34 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.93 |
| 09-14 04:31 | Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 09-14 04:29 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.94 |
| 09-14 00:05 | Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.989 | $7.19 |
| 09-11 02:39 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.76 |
| 09-11 02:38 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.9876256022 | $28.70 |
| 09-11 02:36 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.9741 | $9.74 |
| 09-11 02:35 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-11 02:16 | Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.4835646688 | $3.07 |
| 09-06 18:24 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-06 00:48 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 09-02 23:38 | Will Trump say "11,888" this week? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 09-01 16:41 | Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-01 14:48 | Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |