PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

praeconium

0xe1fa53de8a80838562bf6abd94878af90e9e34ba

Realised P&L
$-7.45
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$118.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9801.000$5.00+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 1? · No0.9001.000$5.00+$0.50
Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9601.000$5.00+$0.20
Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9301.000$5.00+$0.35
Will North Carolina Courage win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9701.000$5.00+$0.15
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9501.000$5.00+$0.25
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9301.000$5.00+$0.35
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9301.000$5.00+$0.35
Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9601.000$5.00+$0.20
Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9301.000$5.00+$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No0.9600.999$4.99+$0.19
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9400.965$4.83+$0.13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? · Yes0.9200.955$4.78+$0.17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$4.67+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2? · No0.6700.885$4.42+$1.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:02Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.94$4.70
11-02 00:51Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.95$4.75
11-02 00:00Will North Carolina Courage win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.97$4.85
11-01 23:57Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$4.65
11-01 23:54Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.96$4.80
11-01 23:47Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.98$4.90
11-01 23:42Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$4.65
11-01 23:39Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$4.65
11-01 23:38Will Angel City FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$4.65
11-01 23:38Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.96$4.80
11-01 23:38Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9499999208$4.80
11-01 22:41Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
11-01 22:41Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.65$3.25
11-01 22:41Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.8489998781$4.25
11-01 22:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.36$1.80