Up2333
0xe1f4e70709a15df46ed3d69b565794ccb912304d
- Realised P&L
- $-541.69
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $15.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.65at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?
- +$47.30at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?
- +$42.78at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 21?
- +$21.77at 0.325Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?
- +$20.45at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4299999885 | $13.86 |
| 11-01 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.37 | $14.70 |
| 11-01 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3699999975 | $14.70 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.9916627219 | $15.08 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2829999924 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6589999708 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.25 |
| 11-01 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.92 |
| 11-01 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-31 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.5379310271 | $13.00 |
| 10-30 02:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.961 | $13.45 |