0xe1efd0f3b4a92bb7df713aac69be985932a943ae
0xe1efd0f3b4a92bb7df713aac69be985932a943ae
- Realised P&L
- $-38.45
- Volume
- $438.20
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $45.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.895 | $26.32 | +$1.32 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.775 | $11.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.495 | $7.62 | −$2.38 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 29? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) · Celtics | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez · Zeynep Sonmez | 0.876 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.87at 0.457Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez
- +$19.02at 0.515Grizzlies vs. Jazz
- +$11.02at 0.482Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5
- +$8.53at 0.747Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?
- +$3.82at 0.869Nets vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 08:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 08:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 08:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 07:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 06:00 | Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez | BUY | 0.8764940016 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 05:12 | Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 23:19 | Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 22:58 | Nets vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 00:07 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 23:44 | Grizzlies vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 23:44 | Grizzlies vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 22:59 | Pacers vs. Bucks | SELL | 0.39 | $9.51 |
| 10-26 22:38 | Pacers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |