PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2B8BC235508961556B83a2881b6c22eB4Eae4A80-1768354627423

0xe1ea378f88b6b0d3f21148ff9c33279411a7b750

Realised P&L
$27.59
Volume
$488.04
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$88.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.7750.905$17.52+$2.52
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.9500.979$15.46+$0.46
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? · No0.8100.775$15.31$0.69
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.515$14.31+$4.31
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · No0.6280.715$13.66+$1.66
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.7660.935$12.21+$2.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 17:39Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-14 17:36Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.7747215521$15.00
07-14 17:36US announces military base in Israel in 2026?BUY0.809999998$16.00
06-18 12:43Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999966$14.00
06-12 18:39 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.58$9.66
06-08 10:23Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.5899999813$12.00
06-01 11:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.001$0.05
05-31 16:46 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.419999982$7.00
05-31 16:43Israel election: will Likud lose seats?BUY0.7659252356$10.00
05-23 19:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1278174037$7.00
05-23 19:04Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?SELL0.18$4.96
05-23 15:49Israel closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.24$6.00
05-23 10:55Israel closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.37$9.25
05-22 09:20Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.2$10.00
05-20 18:48Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.6282672649$12.00