0xe1e08154cb3838e843437ef38e4ae5ab5193c63f
- Realised P&L
- $1.10
- Volume
- $16.54
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $8.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.950 | $1.62 | +$0.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.933 | $1.58 | +$0.28 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $1.42 | +$0.12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.715 | $1.33 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.750 | $1.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.735 | $1.27 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.691Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999462 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499997115 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 10:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499997115 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 01:57 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999966 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 17:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 17:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998954 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 09:56 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999052 | $1.30 |