kafei2026
0xe1d9c84a75041a7b2acad2b1e673ebfbe7ee8056
- Realised P&L
- $0.57
- Volume
- $132.32
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20? · No | 0.520 | 0.996 | $9.56 | +$4.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20? · No | 0.590 | 0.999 | $8.46 | +$3.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.032 | $1.13 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? · No | 0.440 | 0.048 | $0.54 | −$4.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.002 | $0.06 | −$3.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $1.21 |
| 10-17 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |