BGROYAL
0xe1d5fe16c8a85b6f04816bed771e2dd65f4377c1
- Realised P&L
- $-118.69
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $164.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.085 | $164.97 | −$43.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.74at 0.560Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-3.48at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$-98.82at 0.012Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 15:28 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 15:28 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 10:14 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 08-30 17:40 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 08-30 17:40 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $7.34 |
| 08-30 09:19 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $14.24 |
| 08-29 17:21 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.41 |
| 08-29 17:21 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 08-29 17:15 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 17:10 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.00 |
| 08-29 17:09 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $12.76 |
| 08-29 17:09 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.61 |
| 08-28 00:21 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.85 |
| 08-27 19:20 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.19 |
| 08-27 19:20 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |