0xE1d22e24dE34ed323ED513f415e2E68cB1a66A9d-1759188469406
0xe1d22e24de34ed323ed513f415e2e68cb1a66a9d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.03
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 476
- Open portfolio
- $23.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded476
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.650 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.685 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.355 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.565 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.660 | 0.665 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.755 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.110 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.180 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.600 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.54at 0.272Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
- +$7.33at 0.290Will Italy win?
- +$6.63at 0.430Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$6.00at 0.250Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Germany vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Albania win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:26 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:26 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:26 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |