0xe1d20f32e6770bfda20282a201a58bbff33b515e
- Realised P&L
- $6.18
- Volume
- $394.15
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $5.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.420 | 0.895 | $4.26 | +$2.26 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.260 | $0.93 | −$1.07 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.480 | 0.115 | $0.48 | −$1.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.05at 0.291Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$5.02at 0.292Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 14:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 22:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 13:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 16:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 06:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 22:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 13:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |