PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

braveclaw

0xe1c665a8aacd8262a928ffc405c1e08d302ddd66

Realised P&L
$-139.66
Volume
$51.2k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$8.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0500.065$2.60+$0.60
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0540.026$0.97$1.05
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.093$0.94$0.56
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · Yes0.1800.065$0.89$1.58
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0890.055$0.66$0.41
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0900.061$0.49$0.23
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.0210.009$0.42$0.59
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0070.003$0.23$0.45
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0220.003$0.13$0.80
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.0580.003$0.10$1.93
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0100.001$0.10$1.81
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.0160.002$0.09$0.91
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0430.002$0.09$1.92
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0050.001$0.09$0.77
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0050.001$0.08$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 15:04Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 2?BUY0.08$1.18
03-29 10:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?BUY0.36$2.88
03-29 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?BUY0.47$2.82
03-28 15:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?BUY0.39$1.95
03-28 11:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?BUY0.48$2.40
03-28 10:04Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?BUY0.24$1.20
03-28 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?BUY0.25$1.25
03-28 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?BUY0.042$0.44
03-27 11:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?BUY0.37$1.85
03-27 10:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?BUY0.32$1.60
03-27 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?BUY0.12$1.08
03-27 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 28?BUY0.0267570978$0.85
03-26 10:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 27?BUY0.17$1.36
03-26 10:04Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?BUY0.43$2.15
03-26 07:04Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?BUY0.59$2.95