0xe1ba8c37188622922198949a3efbadcd2b9fc53e
- Realised P&L
- $-10.05
- Volume
- $134.72
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $23.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.924 | 0.925 | $9.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21? · No | 0.920 | 0.948 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.946 | 0.951 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · No | 0.380 | 0.625 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No | 0.740 | 0.845 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.973 | 0.995 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No | 0.720 | 0.730 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.555 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.055 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.396New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$1.33at 0.884Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.58at 0.678AIK leading at halftime?
- +$0.20at 0.836Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
- +$0.04at 0.966Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:14 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:07 | Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:05 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:04 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:11 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:10 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:00 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9729999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Fleetwood Town FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Fleetwood Town FC O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $3.61 |
| 09-16 20:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:05 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |