grass77
0xe1b91515742a96791582d4fbad86f293e05c842a
- Realised P&L
- $14.78
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $58.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.56at 0.657Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$8.97at 0.911Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?
- +$6.79at 0.936Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$5.17at 0.936Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$4.95at 0.910Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.8393005811 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:08 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9619999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9689999788 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 11:49 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $210.00 |
| 09-11 11:48 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $142.02 |
| 08-13 06:55 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 07:24 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $90.00 |
| 07-12 07:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.981 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 07:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.00 |
| 07-03 12:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999998 | $210.00 |
| 07-03 12:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.993 | $120.00 |