gfde34r22222
0xe1b54b275223ef9e47d9bb92c643e410f20dcad0
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.011 | $0.30 | −$12.92 |
| Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$253.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.500Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5
- +$2.9kat 0.500Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5
- +$2.0kat 0.500Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5
- +$12.79at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13?
- +$11.98at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 38°C or higher on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.47 |
| 09-30 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.29 |
| 08-31 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $6.02 |
| 07-05 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.99002 | $5.94 |
| 06-22 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 06-16 01:28 | Spread: Senegal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.967 | $12.57 |
| 06-09 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.981 | $11.77 |
| 06-02 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 3? | BUY | 0.987 | $8.98 |
| 05-25 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.975 | $7.58 |
| 05-20 11:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.89 |
| 05-16 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17? | BUY | 0.875 | $6.13 |
| 05-07 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on May 8? | BUY | 0.989011 | $9.89 |
| 04-23 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.47 |
| 01-09 01:55 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.5 | $253.50 |