PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gfde34r22222

0xe1b54b275223ef9e47d9bb92c643e410f20dcad0

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$0.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar19.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13? · Yes0.5000.011$0.30−$12.92
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$25.50
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$5.0k
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$253.50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 38°C or higher on October 9?BUY0.998$12.47
09-30 00:31Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.995$6.29
08-31 15:12Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2?BUY0.999$5.00
07-06 09:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?BUY0.988$6.02
07-05 02:32Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?BUY0.99002$5.94
06-22 00:39Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on June 23?BUY0.989$4.95
06-16 01:28Spread: Senegal (-1.5)BUY0.967$12.57
06-09 00:40Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 10?BUY0.981$11.77
06-02 00:46Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 3?BUY0.987$8.98
05-25 01:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 26?BUY0.975$7.58
05-20 11:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.95$6.89
05-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?BUY0.875$6.13
05-07 00:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on May 8?BUY0.989011$9.89
04-23 04:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 24?BUY0.997$9.47
01-09 01:55Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?BUY0.5$253.50