PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe1b41bc9033bb61592db5abb8c25c3c6f434b508

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$1.11−$18.89
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3100.001$0.03−$19.97
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.1860.000$0.00−$18.57
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$11.40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · Monte0.4590.000$0.00−$15.00
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · paiN0.3800.000$0.00−$15.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · FURIA0.5200.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 14:28Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?SELL0.3426236559$7.97
08-14 14:28Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.92$48.42
03-08 10:31Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group BBUY0.3799999742$5.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group BBUY0.4856293283$10.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.3799999742$5.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.3799999833$10.00
03-08 10:29Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.4590015644$15.00
03-06 22:12Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.5199999958$50.00
03-04 20:34Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.581$22.19
03-04 20:33Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.586$117.20
03-04 17:50Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.16$96.00
03-04 17:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.17$34.00
03-04 17:41Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.2$20.00
03-04 17:34Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
03-04 17:34Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.3099999895$20.00