PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fat-toto

0xe1b41bc9033bb61592db5abb8c25c3c6f434b508

Realised P&L
$-114.97
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$71.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3800.905$47.63+$27.63
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.4300.465$10.81+$0.81
Nothing Ever Happens: March · Nothing0.6501.000$10.00+$3.50
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.002$3.34$16.66
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3100.003$0.16$19.84
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.1860.000$0.00$18.57
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? · No0.1900.000$0.00$11.40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · Monte0.4590.000$0.00$15.00
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · paiN0.3800.000$0.00$15.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · FURIA0.5200.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 10:31Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group BBUY0.3799999742$5.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group BBUY0.4856293283$10.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.3799999742$5.00
03-08 10:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.3799999833$10.00
03-08 10:29Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.4590015644$15.00
03-06 22:12Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2BUY0.5199999958$50.00
03-04 20:34Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.581$22.19
03-04 20:33Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.586$117.20
03-04 17:50Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.16$96.00
03-04 17:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.17$34.00
03-04 17:41Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.2$20.00
03-04 17:34Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
03-04 17:34Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
03-04 17:34Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0089730808$20.00
03-03 21:24US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.4199999899$10.00