fat-toto
0xe1b41bc9033bb61592db5abb8c25c3c6f434b508
- Realised P&L
- $-114.97
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $71.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.01at 0.550Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$10.59at 0.486Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
- +$8.16at 0.380Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
- +$4.17at 0.878Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
- +$2.37at 0.953Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 10:31 | Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 10:30 | Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B | BUY | 0.4856293283 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 10:30 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 10:30 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 10:29 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.4590015644 | $15.00 |
| 03-06 22:12 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 20:34 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.581 | $22.19 |
| 03-04 20:33 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.586 | $117.20 |
| 03-04 17:50 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $96.00 |
| 03-04 17:49 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 03-04 17:41 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 17:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 17:34 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 17:34 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0089730808 | $20.00 |
| 03-03 21:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |