ngok996
0xe1a96e3065e96d5fbdd06215f00e5c1622f3339e
- Realised P&L
- $-95.36
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,374
- Open portfolio
- $540.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,374
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.87at 0.240Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
- +$18.78at 0.270Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
- +$17.08at 0.134Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$16.50at 0.280Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
- +$16.00at 0.290US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:52 | Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 11:19 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.266 | $2.66 |
| 09-17 08:17 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 04:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 09-16 06:00 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 20:03 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-15 17:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 15:37 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 12:35 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-15 08:39 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |