ngok996
0xe1a96e3065e96d5fbdd06215f00e5c1622f3339e
- Realised P&L
- $81.74
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,696
- Open portfolio
- $499.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,696
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.87at 0.240Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
- +$18.95at 0.196Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
- +$18.78at 0.270Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
- +$17.08at 0.134Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$16.50at 0.280Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:15 | Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 11-02 11:42 | Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.129 | $1.29 |
| 11-02 11:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 11-02 10:56 | Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 11-02 08:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 11-02 07:05 | Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 05:19 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.96 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 20:44 | Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 11-01 16:41 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.01278 | $0.64 |
| 11-01 15:28 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 12:40 | Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 12:00 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |