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Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alienbid

0xe1a8e339fd424851eff353b690aaa7897c49a3d7

Realised P&L
$-27.5k
Volume
$176.8k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2030.038$6.3k$26.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up0.6771.000$118.51+$38.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$11.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.5290.000$0.00$35.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.6250.000$0.00$87.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Up0.5970.000$0.00$225.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 20:37Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.2815533079$1.96
03-04 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.75$98.24
03-03 04:39Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
03-03 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.6707752081$150.12
03-03 04:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.6498940091$97.41
03-03 04:33Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.839999999$99.10
03-03 04:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$200.00
03-03 04:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00