ConstantineVIII
0xe1a49dc01ede5492fbd27a6dcae20dddf719a4ba
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $1.56M
- Markets traded
- 10,721
- Open portfolio
- $96.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,721
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.57at 0.001Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$371.33at 0.003Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$307.95at 0.002Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?
- +$192.90at 0.010SK Poltava vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Draw at halftime?
- +$181.07at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:47 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.70 |
| 09-17 16:23 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.04 |
| 09-16 15:52 | Rocket League: Manchester City Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group C | SELL | 0.25 | $0.88 |
| 09-15 15:53 | Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC: Le Havre AC O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 09-15 15:53 | Al Hilal SFC vs. Al Gharafa SC: Al Hilal SFC O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 09-13 22:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 16? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.05 |
| 09-13 21:16 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $19.46 |
| 09-13 21:16 | Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan | SELL | 0.08 | $0.17 |
| 09-13 18:15 | Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.47 |
| 09-13 12:49 | Spread: Busan IPark (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 09-13 11:29 | 2nd Half Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $34.11 |
| 09-13 05:59 | LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Playoffs | SELL | 0.18 | $0.06 |
| 09-09 17:57 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.09 |
| 09-06 17:10 | Will Clemson have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.93 |
| 09-06 11:25 | Gor Mahia FC vs. Pyramids FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.57 | $0.21 |