zerokeksgiven
0xe1a1de618854c1bb03631d81774a29fb668ed421
- Realised P&L
- $-31.74
- Volume
- $281.23
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.375 | $3.12 | −$1.88 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.180 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.068 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan · Pakistan | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.31at 0.531Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$1.25at 0.800Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?
- +$1.17at 0.810Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?
- +$0.23at 0.400MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$0.13at 0.770Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:51 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 19:22 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 10:41 | Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.5099999781 | $3.61 |
| 03-11 08:59 | ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 12-24 18:28 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.50 |
| 12-24 07:46 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 12-13 07:34 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.12 |
| 12-10 19:15 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 12-01 03:15 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 12-01 03:15 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 11-28 12:51 | Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.43 |
| 11-26 11:39 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 11-25 14:43 | MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.23 |
| 11-25 14:16 | MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 11-24 19:33 | Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |