0xe1936853253ed9cd529b45549a8efa1440d79c1c
0xe1936853253ed9cd529b45549a8efa1440d79c1c
- Realised P&L
- $3.53
- Volume
- $363.18
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $6.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.715 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.515 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? · No | 0.720 | 0.850 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.795 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.709 | 0.718 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.065 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.055 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.01at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$4.82at 0.308Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.369Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.22at 0.400Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:02 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:01 | Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7089999121 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:33 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:58 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:46 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:25 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:58 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 06:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |