PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xkvjdd-weather2

0xe191a02c55a4a49cb67ebf7f5f5fe47f1939552e

Realised P&L
$-1.50
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
7,331
Open portfolio
$5.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,331
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? · Yes0.7200.998$4.99+$1.39
Jinan: Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Mattia Bellucci0.7400.735$0.99−$0.01
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down0.9700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.9700.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - August 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Up0.9500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00−$1.01
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.8400.000$0.00−$1.00
BNB Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00−$1.02
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.9700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00−$1.12
XRP Up or Down - August 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00−$1.11
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.9400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 14:52Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan BoyerBUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-16 14:46Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerBUY0.849999915$1.00
10-16 14:45Jinan: Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro MochizukiBUY0.74$1.00
10-16 05:20Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay KartalBUY0.5099999082$1.50
10-15 07:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?SELL0.012$0.06
10-15 07:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?SELL0.013$0.07
10-14 07:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?SELL0.012$0.06
10-13 05:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?SELL0.04$0.20
09-20 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-20 14:37BNB Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 14:27Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 13:47Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-20 13:32Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.74$1.00
09-20 13:22Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00