Kosta000
0xe190ddd6009f30bb7483ea95c6dba33f305f0a5d
- Realised P&L
- $-16.4k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $88.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$708.99at 0.041Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?
- +$640.82at 0.144US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$448.00at 0.100US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$19.86at 0.002Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$13.99at 0.040Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.80 |
| 07-29 22:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 06:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.50 |
| 07-28 08:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.007 | $6.50 |
| 07-27 19:35 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.20 |
| 07-27 19:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 19:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.044 | $0.68 |
| 07-26 05:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.60 |
| 07-24 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-24 14:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 07-24 13:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.00 |
| 07-24 13:15 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.14 |
| 07-24 13:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.021 | $18.90 |
| 07-21 07:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.044 | $12.32 |