PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kosta000

0xe190ddd6009f30bb7483ea95c6dba33f305f0a5d

Realised P&L
$-13.7k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
288
Open portfolio
$255.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded288
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0430.033$139.79−$45.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0980.085$84.98−$13.03
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.024$30.79−$31.16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$32.34
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.19
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$19.27
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$17.98
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 6? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on July 1? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$19.98
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$109.17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$135.86
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on March 18? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$9.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 09:38Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.019$2.85
09-30 09:27Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.009$4.50
09-30 09:26Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.028$19.60
09-30 09:04Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30?BUY0.037$0.37
09-30 09:04Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30?BUY0.037$9.88
09-29 15:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.009$1.62
09-29 15:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.01$2.50
09-29 15:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.01$2.00
09-29 15:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.0084710994$0.67
09-29 07:16Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.09$2.16
09-29 06:28Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.1$20.00
09-29 05:09Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.13$22.85
09-28 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?BUY0.017$11.76
09-28 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?BUY0.015$4.86
09-27 15:08Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?BUY0.038$12.65