PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kosta000

0xe190ddd6009f30bb7483ea95c6dba33f305f0a5d

Realised P&L
$-16.4k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
236
Open portfolio
$88.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded236
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0350.019$53.91$44.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0750.055$33.21$12.37
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0140.001$0.65$17.94
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0190.001$0.55$19.95
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0200.001$0.25$9.75
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0330.001$0.20$13.10
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$32.34
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.19
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$19.27
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$17.98
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 6? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on July 1? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$19.98
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$109.16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.50
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.016$3.80
07-29 22:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.06$6.00
07-29 06:33Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.015$7.50
07-28 08:15Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.02$5.00
07-27 19:35Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?BUY0.007$6.50
07-27 19:35Will Solana reach $90 in July?BUY0.016$3.20
07-27 19:34Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?BUY0.04$4.00
07-27 19:33Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.044$0.68
07-26 05:02Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?BUY0.004$1.60
07-24 14:31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.07$7.00
07-24 14:30Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.07$1.05
07-24 13:16Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?BUY0.018$9.00
07-24 13:15Will Solana reach $90 in July?BUY0.019$2.14
07-24 13:13Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?BUY0.021$18.90
07-21 07:00Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.044$12.32