PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ArielFilipino

0xe18ecc345e00ee7c4f2d1f676f3dd2acb112f826

Realised P&L
$20.4k
Volume
$87.8k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$23.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar23.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Penn State (-2.5) · Penn State0.5300.525$10.5k−$100.00
Spread: Indiana (-24.5) · Indiana0.4800.465$9.3k−$300.00
Spread: Arizona (-7.5) · Arizona0.4600.465$3.0k+$31.78
Spread: Louisiana (-6.5) · Arkansas State0.4800.485$947.35+$9.77
Spread: Nebraska (-14.5) · Maryland0.4900.495$94.10+$0.95
Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 61.5 · Under0.4900.495$15.64+$0.16
Spread: BYU (-6.5) · TCU0.4800.495$12.56+$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.