PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Traderofgrains

0xe188e42ffd003c2c4be3a97f328600839a2bbd6d

Realised P&L
$-20.61
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$252.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9400.986$104.89+$4.89
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? · Yes0.1050.065$61.46$38.54
Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2800.260$26.00$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No0.8800.910$25.85+$0.85
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? · No0.9010.930$25.80+$0.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.4000.135$8.44$16.56
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:43Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?BUY0.91$70.98
09-16 00:40Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?BUY0.08$16.08
09-15 01:39Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September?BUY0.1049411763$100.00
09-14 23:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4$25.00
09-14 23:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.8799999972$25.00
09-14 23:32Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.8899999965$100.00
09-14 23:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
09-14 23:23Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9009900908$25.00
09-14 23:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$88.00