Traderofgrains
0xe188e42ffd003c2c4be3a97f328600839a2bbd6d
- Realised P&L
- $-20.61
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $252.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.986 | $104.89 | +$4.89 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.065 | $61.46 | −$38.54 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.260 | $26.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No | 0.880 | 0.910 | $25.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.901 | 0.930 | $25.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.135 | $8.44 | −$16.56 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.99at 0.300S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?
- +$11.81at 0.895Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$11.47at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.76at 0.913Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?
- +$-7.38at 0.480Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:43 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.91 | $70.98 |
| 09-16 00:40 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.08 |
| 09-15 01:39 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? | BUY | 0.1049411763 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 23:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 23:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 23:32 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 23:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 23:23 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9009900908 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 23:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |