Rivenxr
0xe17b1200cf6bf844a7ebf8001ce8c11c00ae1068
- Realised P&L
- $-727.61
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $155.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.900 | $76.51 | +$32.30 |
| Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? · No | 0.977 | 0.970 | $48.48 | −$0.38 |
| Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.590 | $17.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.890 | $8.90 | +$0.50 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No | 0.330 | 0.340 | $3.74 | +$0.11 |
| Will Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.003 | $0.12 | −$12.16 |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers · Trail Blazers | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.20 |
| Will Team Secret Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.84at 0.670Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$169.00at 0.870Timberwolves vs. Thunder
- +$60.00at 0.940Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
- +$49.00at 0.510Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.71at 0.329Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:29 | Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 09-02 01:05 | Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $41.65 |
| 08-24 04:22 | Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-13 10:12 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.12 |
| 08-11 11:10 | Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.9772 | $48.86 |
| 07-24 03:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.754 | $15.08 |
| 07-17 13:52 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 06:53 | Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.60 |
| 06-23 02:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 05-23 05:39 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 05-23 05:37 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 05-23 05:37 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 05-23 05:37 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 05-23 05:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 05-20 07:48 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |